格隆:关于GDP的经济学常识,当可有效帮助大家防范骗子忽悠

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格隆普及几个关于GDP的经济学常识,当可有效帮助大家防范骗子忽悠:(好文知识推荐)

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1,GDP是个流量概念,不是存量概念。是时期概念,不是时点概念。这两个特征注定了GDP是一个非常粗糙甚至虚幻的数据,在几乎所有需要相对精确的领域(比如投资),基本都没有太多参考价值;
2,中国GDP在世界占比最高的年份是1820年,清嘉庆年间,占到了全球GDP总额的33%,但这丝毫没有影响清朝是一个“一推就倒的泥足巨人“(见乾隆58年访华的英国马尔戈尼代表团副团长斯当东总结报告);
3,真正有意义,真正能反映一个国家实力与民众生活水平的指标,是人均GDP。GDP总额,只是帝王的荣耀,与普通民众关系不大。与普通民众有关系的,是人均GDP。从宋开始直到19世纪初差不多一千多年时间,中国人均GDP一直稳定在一千美金左右,算是高的。但在十四世纪末、十五世纪初被文艺复兴后的意大利、荷兰、英国等欧洲国家纷纷超越,到19世纪则被明治维新后的近邻日本一把超越,且迄今差距越拉越大;
4,改革开放缩小了中国人均GDP与世界的差距,但与发达国家依然相距甚远。截止2020年,中国人均GDP为全球第63位,按可比价格,仅相当于英国1850年的水平。当下的美国是我们的六倍多,澳大利亚是我们的五倍多,加拿大、德国、英国、法国则都是超过我们四倍以上;
5,经常看到一些新闻或者文章,弄些很自嗨的标题,诸如美国超40%的人负债累累,加拿大有三分之一的人存款不到400元,诸如此类。言下之意,这些国家的很多人过得水深火热。写这类文章的人,要么别有用心险恶,要么是平壤金日成大学毕业的。信他,除了满足你虚妄病态的自尊之外,没有任何其他帮助;
6,人均GDP如同股价,它不会反映一个国家所有基本面,但绝对反映了一个国家的绝大多数底层信息:生产力高下、科技创造力强弱、社会财富分配的公平水平、社会福利水准以及由此引致的民众储蓄倾向、消费欲望等……。所以,撇开道德层面的东西,如果可以选择,去人均GDP高的地方生活,是没有错的,大概率是会比人均GDP低的地方会更幸福的;
7,真有志于细究经济学的,建议多读读福利经济学,而非传统的总量经济学。后者是写给总统看的。你不是。文章源自武享吧-https://hula8.net/upcoming/44355.html

文章源自武享吧-https://hula8.net/upcoming/44355.html

文章源自武享吧-https://hula8.net/upcoming/44355.html

网友评论精选:

brave乾坤:明明是常识,却越来越显得弥足珍贵,这是为什么文章源自武享吧-https://hula8.net/upcoming/44355.html

火星人子驹66:因为懂得越多就越痛苦,为了让你不痛苦,尽量的关闭让你清醒的渠道。文章源自武享吧-https://hula8.net/upcoming/44355.html

senpoyang:点赞,不能因为xx就不说话,不能看到别人被阉割了就自我把自我阉割了。很多人的提醒是好意,不过还是按自己的内心发声。文章源自武享吧-https://hula8.net/upcoming/44355.html


格隆,格隆汇科技发展(深圳)有限公司 创始人,格隆汇创始人。分享和探讨港股,美股,以及部分确有价值之A股的投资线索,投资机会。文章源自武享吧-https://hula8.net/upcoming/44355.html

英文谷歌翻译如下:The English Google translation is as follows:

Gelong popularizes a few common sense of economics about GDP, which can effectively help everyone to prevent cheaters from fooling around: (Good article knowledge recommendation)文章源自武享吧-https://hula8.net/upcoming/44355.html

1. GDP is a flow concept, not a stock concept. It is the concept of period, not the concept of time. These two characteristics are destined to GDP is a very rough or even illusory data, in almost all areas that require relatively accurate (such as investment), there is basically not much reference value;
2. The year when China’s GDP accounted for the highest proportion of the world’s GDP was 1820. During the Jiaqing period of the Qing Dynasty, it accounted for 33% of the total global GDP, but this did not affect the Qing Dynasty’s status as a “clay-footed giant that fell with one push” (see Qianlong 58 Summary report by Stanton, deputy head of the British Malgoni delegation to China);
3. The indicator that is truly meaningful and can truly reflect a country’s strength and people’s living standards is GDP per capita. The total GDP is only the glory of the emperor and has little to do with ordinary people. What matters to ordinary people is GDP per capita. From the beginning of the Song Dynasty to the beginning of the 19th century, China's per capita GDP has been stable at around US$1,000, which is considered high. However, at the end of the 14th century and the beginning of the 15th century, it was surpassed by European countries such as Italy, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom after the Renaissance. In the 19th century, it was surpassed by its neighbor Japan after the Meiji Restoration, and the gap has widened so far;
4. Reform and opening up have narrowed the gap between China's per capita GDP and the world, but it is still far from developed countries. As of 2020, China's per capita GDP ranks 63rd in the world, and at comparable prices, it is only equivalent to the British level in 1850. The current United States is more than six times ours, Australia is more than five times ours, and Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom, and France are all four times more than us;
5. I often see some news or articles, and make some very proud headlines, such as more than 40% of people in the United States are heavily in debt, one-third of people in Canada save less than 400 yuan, and so on. The implication is that many people in these countries are living in dire straits. Those who write such articles either have ulterior motives, or graduated from Kim Il Sung University in Pyongyang. Believe him, there is no other help other than satisfying your vain and pathological self-esteem;
6. Per capita GDP is like stock price. It does not reflect all the fundamentals of a country, but it definitely reflects the vast majority of the underlying information of a country: high productivity, technological creativity, fair level of social wealth distribution, and level of social welfare. And the people's propensity to save, the desire to consume, etc. caused by this. Therefore, leaving aside the moral aspects, if you can choose to live in a place with a high per capita GDP, there is nothing wrong with it. There is a high probability that you will be happier than a place with a low per capita GDP;
7. Those who are really interested in studying economics in detail, it is recommended to read welfare economics instead of traditional aggregate economics. The latter is written for the president. you are not.

Reviews:

brave Qiankun: It’s common sense, but it’s becoming more and more precious. Why?

Martian Ziju 66: Because the more you understand, the more painful you will be. In order to make you less painful, try to close the channels that keep you awake.

senpoyang: Like, you can’t stop talking because of xx, and you can’t see others being castrated and castrate yourself. Many people's reminders are kind, but they still speak in their own hearts.

Gelong, founder of Gelonghui Technology Development (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., founder of Gelonghui. Share and discuss the investment clues and investment opportunities of Hong Kong stocks, U.S. stocks, and some truly valuable A shares.

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